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The going assumption is that Mars Ag will be hydroponics based. As a bit of coincidence our family has been been using a hydroponics setup for some 8 months now. We decided to jump into this when fresh lettuce was tough to get at the beginning of the pandemic. We bought a Farmstand (image below) with 30 planting units for the outside in May, and it did well. We added the LED light set back in November and it has worked even better inside.
After 9 months we can report:
Hydroponics in this setup works well, outside and inside (with special lights)
Seed to big, ready to use plant in about 2 months (some types can then be harvested for months)
1 kg of "powdered" plant food (containing Ca, N, Phosphate, Potash, Mg, S, and bit of Fe) will last 6 months and produce 3 sets of 30 plants (if you planned it well).
We liked it so much we bought a second. It's a basil machine in the winter which is great.
So, from a Mars perspective (assuming water is a plentiful there as we expect):
2 kg of plant food, rooting medium, seeds can supply 2 people with various veges every day. Of course this is only 50-100 calories/day so you will need a lot of other dense high cal per kg food as well. Hope you like your salad without pant based oil dressing ... I suggest rocket (arugula) for many reasons : )
Low power needs, LED lights are tuned growing and are very efficient despite being very bright.
In a colony I could see a combination of large scale hydroponics in large 10,000 plant facilities (bring you sunglasses), as well as a personal Farmstand in every Mars apartment with a personalized plants (seeds are very light, so the colony may have a hundred plant varieties). A farmstand is made of lightweight plastic. A by-product of methane production are plastic beads ready to be formed into something like this (with a 1m x 1m x 1m 100 kg machine), so you only need to bring a small 100 gram pump core, some wire and a few hundred LEDS to get growing. I assume a few people would start competitive businesses to make different Mars optimized version of these.
Some plants will need hand pollination given the lack of insects (that is a mostly good thing).
A major culture of hydroponic plant growing could develop with farm markets and exchanges as an activity
The evolution of a unique Mars food culture will likely evolve, which given high output per kg from Earth of hydroponics would likely be vegan centric. This would also be low alcohol consumption as I don't see how hydroponics will be able to grow a lot fermentable veges.
Finally, this does not solve the Earth biota issue. These plants do not represent even 0.001% of the biota diversity that is needed for the human body to function. Recall that that from a cell count basis there is more of them (bacterium) than cells with our DNA within us. We are a truly symbiotic organism, and I expect that teh extent of this will be discovered with Mars ops. To that end, should we expect tons of "living" but carefully developed and filtered soil to come to Mars every couple years? Note for "The Expanse" fans, the last episode has a couple lines from one Belter to this season's main bad guy where he asks where they were going to get "biological soil" from now that they attacked Earth. Bad guy says they have a plan for making their own. Maybe a process can eventually combine human and plant waste with Mars components to minimize the mass needed from Earth.
Image Description
This is very cool.
Early on, almost all food will be brought from Earth, with fresh veggies grown in hydroponic setups just like this. I can easily imagine a whole set of social interactions growing up around swapping plants and serving exotic salads to guests.
I think these personal hydroponic gardens will be a very big deal for moral.
But as soon as the base starts getting large, you need to start growing a significant amount of the colony's calories on Mars. That will be a very big production.
It is estimated that Starship will be able to transport 100,000 kg to Mars. If a Starship full of food is launched every synod, that is every 780 days. So that comes out to 128 kg of food for each day. A single person eats about 1.5 kg of food a day, so one Starship of food each synod is enough to support a base of 85 people.
So when the Mars base is less than 85 people, I doubt they will put too much effort into growing calories on Mars. They will have these hydroponic setups for moral reasons, but that's it.
Once the Mars base gets above 85 people, there is more incentive to start growing food on Mars. It just makes sense logistically.
Lets give some thought to what it will look like.
Dr. Gene Giacomelli at the University of Arizona has done a great deal of research on growing hydroponic food in space, both for oxygen creation and calorie creation. He designed a 5.5 meter long, 2 meter diameter greenhouse that would provide half the food requirement for a single astronaut. So let's say we want to provide half the food for 190 people (so the other half can be brought by a single Starship flight, once a synod.
That would require greenhouses 2 meters in diameter with a total length of 1 km. Giacomelli's greenhouses generally run on artificial light, which means you could potentially pack that 1 km by 2 meter tube into a single sphere that is 18 meters across. That would be really stupid because if something goes wrong you lose half of your food supply. So instead we could have 4 greenhouse spheres that are each about 12 meters across if we want. That way if we lose one of them we only lose 1/8th of our food supply.
We have an idea of how much space it will take, now lets figure out how much power it will take assuming we use LEDs.
A person burns on average about 100 watts of power. So if you have to grow the food to power half of that for 190 people, you have to grow 90,000 watts worth of food. This is a weird way of expressing it, but what it means is that every second you have to grow enough food to provide 90,000 joules of energy.
So 90 kW of food needs to be grown. There are many plants where we can not eat the whole plant. Something like wheat, we only eat the seeds, and the rest of the plant we can't eat. But then with things like lettuce we can eat the whole thing except the roots. So lets assume that on average we can eat 2/3 of the plant. So if we need 90 kW of food, we need 135 kW of plant growth.
Plants are incredibly inefficient at turning light into plant matter. They have an efficiency generally between 0.1% and 2%. Let's assume on average we grow plants that are 1% efficient. That means to get 135 kW of plant growth, we need 13.5 MW of photons. LED lights can be about 90% efficient, so to get 13.5 MW of photons, you need 15 MW of electricity.
So to grow half the necessary food for 190 people using LED lights is going to require 15 MW of electricity. Just to have something to compare this to, that is 125 time more power than the International Space Station produces. That is the amount of power used by the average American town with a population of 11,000.
As you can imagine, the energy requirements of growing a large fraction of calories from LEDs will quickly become very large. Really the only practical way to grow the food is with natural sunlight greenhouses. This will require a larger growing area. With LED growing, you don't have to worry as much about plants shading each other, with natural light growing you do. But the plants can probably still be more crowded than typical because you will use reflectors to increase the light intensity to levels optimal for the plants.
To get 13.5 MW of photons your farm will have to cover an square 300 meters on a side. This is if you make the assumption that 50% of sunlight hits your plants, and 50% hits something else. The greenhouses will be cylinders laying on their sides with the smallest feasible diameter. Crops will be mostly tended by robots that run along rails the length of the greenhouse. When human interaction is needed they can be sitting on chairs that run on the same rails. So the diameter of the greenhouse can be less than the height of a human.
Thanks, one of the most comprehensive replies I have had on reddit.
Yes, I was assuming that this is more of food variety moral booster than the core to diets. Even if we thin everyone down to an avg of 2000 cal per day the personal hydroponics is only about 5% of the cals. But imagine buckets of basil and tarragon making a very nice aroma in your apartment (just wish we could bring some olive oil and parmi ... too heavy per cal? ... more on that later)
Here is your calc from another direction ...
If use the Farmstand as a ref we are looking at an LED power pull of about 100W for 30 plants while on (about 12 hours a day). A lot of those photons are wasted as these Farmstand light rings lights up object 20 m from the window it is next to at night. A reflective cylinder around the Farmstand might put you at 50W. With a solar panel on Mars giving you at least 120 W per m^2 on average (12 hours a day - if there is no dust storms) you might need a 1 m^2 on average with all losses to run 2 30 plant farm stands. This gives you maybe 5% of cals, so maybe 20x that for full cal replace = 20 m^2 per person (at some optimized facility ... not that much room in your apartments). A 1000 person colony would need20,000 m^2.
So I imagine large 10m x 100 m rolls of ROSA type PV sheets of this inside a Starship (1,000 m^2 each). Say this can be packed so this is effectively 2-3 mil thick ... this creates a footprint in the cargo bay (in landed vertical orientation) of 2m x 2m = 4 m^2. Given that the bay has 50 m^2 of floorspace lets assume that packing will allow for 40 m^2 of space ... so it can easily carry 10 10mx100m rolls ... maybe 20 with more optimal packing -> 2000 m^2. A 1000 person colony would need 20 cargo starships to bring "hydroponics power". 200 might only take 5 ($500M, delivered with all deployment and support equipment). So 100,000 m^2 at 100 W per m^2 -> 10,000,000 W per 200 = 10 MW per 200.
Very close to your 15 MW per 190 ... and my cal value of an average 60 day old Farmstand plant might be a big high.
Otherwise, per the single person eats about 1.5 kg of food a day,
A lot of food mass is water. Fortunately water should be abundant and cheap on Mars so dehydration may be a mass savings. But let's get beyond "raw" survival (vege joke).
A liter of olive oil has 8,048 cal, at 0.917 kg/l. So about 10,000 cal per kg. Thus one kg of olive oil can provide 5 days of cals needed per person.
Parmi is 4310 cal per kg
Pasta is 3550 cal per kg
Averaging it all it looks like 5000 cal per kg of pesto inputs ... good for 2+ days of needed cals! So maybe we can get by on 1 kg of food a day and still have some fine food on Mars.
Given the cal density of olive oil (I think butter is even better) we should feast on 100 variations of salads and veges and great Italian vege food for 1 kg a day. To hell with K-rations. I assume we will use induction and microwaves for cooking ... no flames.
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